Southwest Cuts Outlook Over Government Shutdown, Fuel Costs

The carrier now expects full-year EBIT of about $500 million.

Southwest 737-800
A Southwest Boeing 737-800. (Photo: Shutterstock | Markus Mainka)
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Key Takeaways:

  • Southwest Airlines lowered its 2025 earnings forecast to $500 million, down from an earlier $600-$800 million, citing impacts from the recent federal government shutdown and rising jet fuel costs.
  • The shutdown necessitated flight reductions at busy airports for Southwest and other airlines due to unpaid FAA air traffic controllers.
  • Despite the financial hit, Southwest reported that bookings have since returned to previous expectations, mirroring similar losses reported by other carriers like Delta.
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Southwest this week lowered its earnings forecast for 2025 over the recent federal government shutdown and the rising cost of jet fuel.

In a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the airline said its full-year earnings before interest and taxes will be about $500 million, down from its prior expectation of $600 million to $800 million. Southwest did not say how much of that hit came from the shutdown alone.

Southwest, like all other U.S. airlines, was forced to cut flights at 40 of the nation’s busiest airports in November as the shutdown cleared the one-month mark. The reductions were put in place to ease the burden on FAA air traffic controllers, who were working without pay.

The carrier said bookings have “returned to previous expectations” since the reduction order was dropped.

Delta reported Wednesday that the shutdown had cost it around $200 million in pre-tax profits.

Zach Vasile

Zach Vasile is a writer and editor covering news in all aspects of commercial aviation. He has reported for and contributed to the Manchester Journal Inquirer, the Hartford Business Journal, the Charlotte Observer, and the Washington Examiner, with his area of focus being the intersection of business and government policy.
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